The Predictive Performance Evaluation of Biased Regression Predictors With Correlated Errors


DAWOUD I., KAÇIRANLAR S.

JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, cilt.34, ss.364-378, 2015 (SSCI İndekslerine Giren Dergi) identifier identifier

  • Cilt numarası: 34 Konu: 5
  • Basım Tarihi: 2015
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1002/for.2337
  • Dergi Adı: JOURNAL OF FORECASTING
  • Sayfa Sayısı: ss.364-378

Özet

When the interdependence of disturbances is present in a regression model, the pattern of sample residuals contains information which is useful in the prediction of post-sample drawings and when multicollinearity among regressors is also present, it is useful to use biased regression estimators. This information is exploited in the biased predictors derived here. Also, the predictive performance of various biased predictors with correlated errors is discussed and all pair-wise comparisons are made among these predictors. The theoretical results are illustrated by a numerical example. Copyright (c) 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.