A New Trigonometric-Inspired Probability Distribution: The Weighted Sine Generalized Kumaraswamy Model with Simulation and Applications in Epidemiology and Reliability Engineering


Creative Commons License

GENÇ M., Özbilen Ö.

Mathematics, cilt.14, sa.3, 2026 (SCI-Expanded, Scopus) identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 14 Sayı: 3
  • Basım Tarihi: 2026
  • Doi Numarası: 10.3390/math14030510
  • Dergi Adı: Mathematics
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus, zbMATH, Directory of Open Access Journals
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: Kumaraswamy distribution, maximum likelihood estimation, statistical modeling, unit-interval data, weighted sine-G family
  • Çukurova Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

The importance of statistical distributions in representing real-world scenarios and aidingin decision-making is widely acknowledged. However, traditional models often facelimitations in achieving optimal fits for certain datasets. Motivated by this challenge, thispaper introduces a new probability distribution termed the weighted sine generalizedKumaraswamy (WSG-Kumaraswamy) distribution. This model is constructed by integratingthe Kumaraswamy baseline distribution with the weighted sine-G family, whichincorporates a trigonometric transformation to enhance flexibility without adding extra parameters.Various statistical properties of the WSG-Kumaraswamy distribution, includingthe quantile function, moments, moment-generating function, and probability-weightedmoments, are derived. Maximum likelihood estimation is employed to obtain parameterestimates, and a comprehensive simulation study is performed to assess the finite-sampleperformance of the estimators, confirming their consistency and reliability. To illustrate thepractical advantages of the proposed model, two real-world datasets from epidemiologyand reliability engineering are analyzed. Comparative evaluations using goodness-of-fitcriteria demonstrate that the WSG-Kumaraswamy distribution provides superior fits comparedto established competitors. The results highlight the enhanced adaptability of themodel for unit-interval data, positioning it as a valuable tool for statistical modeling indiverse applied fields.