APPLIED ENERGY, cilt.82, sa.4, ss.285-299, 2005 (SCI-Expanded)
This study analyzed the relationship between the fuel-subsidy policy and groundwater-use expansion at macro level and water allocation to different crops at micro level in Syria. Energy uses for major crops were calculated, and a logistic equation fitted to model groundwater, well drilling and total-irrigated area trends for the period 1986-1999. Energy costs and water use were modeled using input factor cost function to determine the farmers' response to subsidized energy, using well-monitoring data and formal crop budget survey data, and to analyze water allocation to different crops. Different fuel-cost scenarios were simulated to show the likely effects on crops gross margins and cropping patterns.