Balancing Efficiency and Spatial Equity in Sustainable Electric Vehicle Charging Infrastructure: A GIS-MCDA and Machine Learning Suitability Framework for Türkiye
Sustainability (Switzerland), cilt.18, sa.16, 2026 (SCI-Expanded, SSCI, Scopus)
- Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
- Cilt numarası: 18 Sayı: 16
- Basım Tarihi: 2026
- Doi Numarası: 10.3390/su18168298
- Dergi Adı: Sustainability (Switzerland)
- Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Social Sciences Citation Index (SSCI), Scopus, CAB Abstracts, Geobase, INSPEC
- Anahtar Kelimeler: analytic hierarchy process (AHP), electric vehicle charging infrastructure, GIS-MCDA, random forest (RF), spatial equity, suitability mapping, sustainable infrastructure planning, sustainable transport transition, Türkiye
- Çukurova Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet
Özet
Transport decarbonization through electric mobility depends not only on how many charging stations are deployed but where, and whether expansion balances accessibility, grid readiness, land-use protection and regional equity. Türkiye, targeting net-zero by 2053 with electric car sales exceeding 10% of the market in 2024, shows a highly uneven charging network: provincial provision ranges from 9.0 to 155.6 points per 100,000 inhabitants, with the least-served half of the population holding only 22.3% of installed capacity (Gini = 0.311). This study develops a GIS-based multi-criteria framework treating charging expansion as a sustainability-constrained planning problem. Six criteria, namely population, GDP, transformer and transmission-line proximity, road-network proximity, and city-centre proximity, were harmonized to a 100-m grid via fuzzy membership functions, with an exclusion mask protecting sensitive land uses. Three weighting scenarios were compared: equal weights (EVCSI-A), Random Forest-derived weights (EVCSI-B), and expert AHP weights (EVCSI-C). Road accessibility (41.12%) and economic capacity (29.84%) dominated existing placement, explaining ~71% of feature importance, stable across algorithms and bootstrap replicates. National results reveal an efficiency–equity trade-off: EVCSI-B concentrates suitability in metropolitan corridors, EVCSI-A preserves broader coverage, and EVCSI-C reinforces metropolitan bias. Central and Eastern Anatolia remain underserved. We recommend sustainability-constrained screening followed by grid-capacity verification, positioning EVCSI as a transferable equity-monitoring tool supporting SDG 7, 9, 11 and 13.