Comparative techno-economic analysis of offshore wind, solar PV and hybrid green hydrogen production in Türkiye


Yildirim A., BİLGİLİ M.

Marine Georesources and Geotechnology, 2026 (SCI-Expanded, Scopus) identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Basım Tarihi: 2026
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1080/1064119x.2026.2613742
  • Dergi Adı: Marine Georesources and Geotechnology
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus, Compendex, Environment Index, Geobase
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: Green hydrogen, hybrid renewable energy systems, levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH), offshore wind power, solar photovoltaic (PV), Türkiye
  • Çukurova Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

This study introduces a comprehensive model for green hydrogen production using Renewable Energy Sources (RESs), specifically offshore wind power (OWP) and solar energy. The framework evaluates three configurations: OWP, solar photovoltaic (PV), and a hybrid OWP–PV system—to assess their technical performance and cost effectiveness for hydrogen production using RO-treated (desalinated) seawater. For 2025, the estimated hydrogen outputs are 82.01 kg/h for the offshore-wind system, 17.87 kg/h for the PV scenario, and 99.87 kg/h for the hybrid configuration. Anticipated technological advances and cost reductions raise these values in 2050 to 130.62 kg/h, 28.46 kg/h, and 159.08 kg/h, respectively. At an 8% discount rate, the levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) in 2025 is 10.25 USD kg−1 for OWP, 5.97 USD kg−1 for PV, and 9.65 USD kg−1 for the hybrid system, while projected 2050 costs decline to 4.46 USD kg−1, 1.66 USD kg−1, and 3.98 USD kg−1. Sensitivity analysis shows that CAPEX, electrolyzer performance, and hydrogen output mainly drive LCOH. In Türkiye, where offshore wind installations have yet to be deployed and studies on offshore-wind-based hydrogen production remain scarce, these scenario-driven results offer timely, site-specific insights that can inform long-term energy planning and investment strategies.